Bitwise CIO: Bitcoin’s four-year cycle may have expired, and the market performance is expected to improve in 2026

According to Foresight News, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan posted a statement to analyze why Bitcoin’s four-year cycle may have expired and predicted the future trend of the cryptocurrency market. He pointed out that three key factors that formed the four-year cycle before: halving, interest rate cycle and explosion risk are all weakening. Interest rate cycles are positive, not negative, for cryptocurrencies. The biggest cyclical risk currently emerging is the rise of fiscal companies, which is worth paying attention to and is of great significance. There is greater power to move on a timeline that is out of sync with the previous four-year cycle. The long-term pro-cryptocurrency power will overwhelm the classic “four-year cycle” power (if it exists), and 2026 will be a good year. Matt Hougan said he was sure there would be a big fluctuation, which was more like a "sustaining and stable prosperity" than a super cycle, and overall he thought he could last for a few more years.
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